Abstract:China's rapid industrial growth has come at the cost of high energy consumption and heavy emissions,necessitating a sustainable industrial development that balances technological advancement,economic performance and ecological protection throughout production processes.Based on sustainable development,SDG 9 and TOE theories,this paper constructs an evaluation system for sustainable industrial development that incorporates the coordinated development of technology,economy and ecology,and employs a hybrid fsQCA-NCA-ANN method to analyze multiple configurational pathways that drive sustainable industrial development in China.Results show that:①The average sustainable industrial development efficiency during 2010—2023 is 0.664,with Beijing,Shanghai,Jiangsu and Guangdong steadily above 0.85 and North,East and Central China taking the lead;the overall system synergy rises from 0.122 to 0.97.②No single antecedent condition is necessary for sustainable industrial development;its high synergy results from the combined effects of multiple antecedent conditions.③Four configurational paths are identified:energy-and enterprise-driven IT-industry dual-dominant,energy-and climate-driven IT-industry dual-dominant,multi-factor-driven IT-industry dual-dominant,and industrial policy dominated.④Energy decarbonization contributes most(26%),followed by industrial upgrading(25%).
康诗康, 尚煜. 考虑技术—经济—生态系统协同的中国工业可持续发展组态路径研究[J]. 中国科技论坛, 2026(9): 111-122.
Kang Shikang, Shang Yu. Research on the Configuration Path for China's Sustainable Industrial Development Considering the Synergy of Technology-Economy-Ecology System. , 2026(9): 111-122.