Abstract：Drawing upon innovation cycle theory,industrial life cycle theory,and innovation-driven development theory,this study investigates the internal mechanism through which scientific and technological innovation drives high-quality industrial development in the manufacturing sector.It further measures the prosperity indices of scientific-technological innovation and high-quality industrial development in manufacturing.Utilizing the Chinese prosperity indices from 2001 to 2022,this research examines the actual effects of manufacturing technological innovation on high-quality industrial development through the ARDL-ECM model.The findings reveal that:①Both scientific-technological innovation and high-quality industrial development in China's manufacturing sector exhibit cyclical characteristics,approximately 3 complete cycles and 4 short cycles respectively.②In the long term,manufacturing innovation activities significantly promote high-quality industrial development.③Short-term analysis demonstrates that the state of manufacturing innovation activities during industrial development presents certain negative effects on industrial quality enhancement.However,when high-quality development deviates from the anchor state determined by the long-term effects of technological innovation,it exhibits rapid adjustment capabilities to restore equilibrium.
陈鑫鑫, 杨武. 制造业科技创新驱动产业高质量发展机理与效应研究[J]. 中国科技论坛, 2026(3): 65-74.
Chen Xinxin, Yang Wu. Research on the Mechanism and Effect of Manufacturing Technology Innovation Driving High-Quality Development of Industries. , 2026(3): 65-74.
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