Multi-Case Comparative Analysis of International AI Technology Foresight: The Perspective from Public Participation of Science
Yang Heng1, Fang Lingzhi2
1. School of Journalism and Communication, Shanghai University, Shanghai 200072, China; 2. School of Cultural Creativity and Management, Communication University of Zhejiang, Hangzhou 310018, China
Abstract：The disruptive technological innovation and social application of artificial intelligence (AI)make technology foresight for AI an important forward-looking strategic tool for gaining competitive advantage,and therefore a strategic concern for sovereign countries around the world.This study takes the AI technology foresight practices of the United States,the European Union,Japan,and India as the research objects.From the perspective of public participation of science,a combination of multiple case comparative analysis and thematic analysis is adopted to systematically compare the AI technology foresight practices of the research objects.Research has extracted four AI technology foresight orientations including power orientation,value orientation,function orientation,and development orientation,as well as the organizational mechanisms,action subjects,and impacts of public science participation under different orientations.Research suggests that the public participation of science not only provides diversified intellectual support for AI technology foresight,but also serves as an important tool for building social consensus and achieving scientific decision-making.China's AI technology foresight should be optimized in terms of foresight methods and organizational mechanisms.
杨恒, 方凌智. 国际人工智能技术预见多案例比较分析:科学公共参与的视角[J]. 中国科技论坛, 2025(8): 164-171.
Yang Heng, Fang Lingzhi. Multi-Case Comparative Analysis of International AI Technology Foresight: The Perspective from Public Participation of Science. , 2025(8): 164-171.
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