区域科技成果外流的演化博弈分析——东北地区科技成果外流的原因和对策

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摘要区域内科技成果异地转化造成的科技成果外流现象普遍存在,尤以东北地区的表现更为严重。本文基于演化博弈的理论方法,从科研机构科技成果转化决策和政府改善科技成果转化环境决策出发,构建了科研机构和政府之间的演化博弈模型,考察了双方策略的演化稳定均衡,探讨了科技成果异地转化的原因。研究表明:就地转化时科研机构获得的收益分成比例、政府对科技成果转化环境的改善程度以及政府改善科技成果转化环境的效率是决定演化博弈稳定策略的主要因素,随着这三种因素的变化,系统表现出多种演化稳定均衡。本文将以上模型应用于东北地区科技成果外流的分析中,从现实经济层面分析了决定收益分成比例、转化环境改善程度和政府改善效率的因素,详细考察了造成东北地区科技成果外流的具体因素,并提出了促进东北地区科技成果就地转化的政策建议。

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关键词 ：科技成果转化, 演化博弈, 东北振兴

Abstract：The phenomena of outflow of scientific and technological achievements in different regions of China are very common,especially in northeast China.By using evolutionary game theory,this paper constructs the evolutionary game model between scientific research institutions which makes S&T achievements transformation decision and government which makes decision to improve the environment of S&T achievements transformation.The evolutions of the two strategies are analyzed and the reasons of the outflow of S&T achievements in northeastern region are examined.The results show that the improvement of the income ratio obtained by the scientific research institutions in the local transformation,the improvement of the environment of the S&T achievements transformation and the efficiency of the government to improve the transformation are the main factors that determine the stability strategy of evolutionary game.With the change of these three factors,the system shows a variety of evolutionary stability equilibrium.Furthermore,we apply the model to analyze the factors that determine the proportion of income sharing,the degree of environmental improvement and the efficiency of government improvement from the realistic economic level.The factors influencing the outflow of scientific and technological achievements in Northeast China are analyzed in detail,and the policy suggestions are put forward.

Key words： Transformation of scientific and technological achievements Evolutionary game Northeast revitalization

收稿日期: 2017-09-15

PACS:

G311

基金资助:辽宁省社科规划项目“东北地区科技成果转化一体化模式”(L16CJY006),沈阳市科技项目“沈阳市促进科技成果转化对策研究”(17232515)。

作者简介: 孙涛(1985-),黑龙江哈尔滨人,东北大学博士,中国东北振兴研究院副主任;研究方向:科技创新。

引用本文:

孙涛,王钰,李伟. 区域科技成果外流的演化博弈分析——东北地区科技成果外流的原因和对策[J]. 中国科技论坛, 2018(5): 97-106.
Sun Tao,Wang Yu,Li Wei. Evolutionary Game Analysis on Outflow of Scientific and Technological Achievements in Different Region of China:Reasons and Solutions to Northeast Revitalization. , 2018(5): 97-106.

链接本文:

http://www.zgkjlt.org.cn/CN/Y2018/I5/97