The Penetration Effect of Software and Information Technology Services on Agricultural Economic Growth
Liu Chunyang1,2, Liu Jinyi1
1.School of Economics,Hunan Agricultural University,Changsha 410128,China; 2.Research Center of Hunan Agricultural Enterprise Development,Changsha 410128,China
Abstract：Accelerating information technology innovation has been taken as a key engine for sustained economic growth in the post-financial crisis era.Its contribution to Chinese economic growth has reached consensus,but its contribution to agricultural economic growth has not yet been supported by empirical evidence.This paper analyzes the relationship between ICT penetration and agricultural economic growth by using provincial panel data from 2001 to 2016.The study found that:①ICT has a positive penetration effect on agricultural economic growth,but it will show inverted U-shaped changes throughout the industrial life cycle.②Since it was still in the early stages of proliferation before 2007,the penetration effect of ICT on agricultural economic growth was not obvious.Since 2007,it has shown a significant increase trend.However,it is still in the marginal incremental stage on the left of the inverted U-shaped curve now,which is far lower than the best turning point theoretically.It will still provide lasting new impetus for rural revitalization in the longer term.③The penetration effect of ICT on agricultural economic growth in the east and central regions is better than that in the west,because most of the western provinces are still in the initial stage of the diffusion of ICT.
刘纯阳, 刘锦怡. 软件和信息技术服务对农业经济增长的渗透效应[J]. 中国科技论坛, 2020(4): 94-102.
Liu Chunyang, Liu Jinyi. The Penetration Effect of Software and Information Technology Services on Agricultural Economic Growth. , 2020(4): 94-102.
[1]孙琳琳,郑海涛,任若恩.信息化对中国经济增长的贡献:行业面板数据的经验证据[J].世界经济,2012,35 (2):3-25. [2]蒋仁爱,贾维晗.信息通信技术对中国工业行业的技术外溢效应研究[J].财贸研究,2019 (2):1-16. [3]郑世林,周黎安,何维达.电信基础设施与中国经济增长[J].经济研究,2014,49 (5):77-90. [4]韩宝国,李世奇.软件和信息技术服务业与中国经济增长[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2018,35 (11):129-142. [5]JORGENSON D W.Information technology and the U.S.economy[J].American economic review,2001,91 (1):1-32. [6]蔡跃洲,张钧南.信息通信技术对中国经济增长的替代效应与渗透效应[J].经济研究,2015,50 (12):100-114. [7]BRESNAHAN T F,TRAJTENBERG M.General purpose technologies‘Engines of growth’[J].Journal of econometrics,1995,65 (1):83-108. [8]GORDON R J.The rise and fall of American growth:the U.S.standard of living since the Civil War[M].Princeton:Princeton University Press,2015. [9]OLINER S D,SICHEL D E,TRIPLETT J E,et al.Computers and output growth revisited:how big is the puzzle[J].Brookings papers on economic activity,1994,1994 (2):273-334. [10]JORGENSON D W,STIROH K J.Information technology and growth[J].American economic review,1999,89 (2):109-115. [11]STIROH K J.Information technology and the U.S.productivity revival:what do the industry data say[J].American economic review,2002,92 (5):1559-1576. [12]CARDONA M M,KRETSCHMER T,STROBEL T.ICT and productivity:conclusions from the empirical literature[J].Information economics and policy,2013,25 (3):109-125. [13]CHOU Y C,CHUANG H C,SHAO B B M.The impacts of information technology on total factor productivity:a look at externalities and innovations[J].International journal of production economics,2014,158:290-299. [14]VENTURINI F.The modern drivers of productivity[J].Research policy,2015,4 (2):357-369. [15]ACHARYA R C.ICT use and total factor productivity growth:intangible capital or productive externalities[J].Oxford economic papers,2016,68 (1):16-39. [16]JORGENSON D W,HO M S,SAMUELS J D,et al.Industry origins of the American productivity resurgence[J].Economic systems research,2007,19 (3):229-252. [17]BYRNE D M,OLINER S D,SICHEL D E.Is the information technology revolution over[J].International productivity monitor,2013,25 (1):59-72. [18]STIROH K,BOTSCH M.Information technology and productivity growth in the 2000s[J].German economic review,2007,8 (5):255-280. [19]INKLAAR R,O'MAHONY M,TIMMER M.ICT and Europe's productivity performance:industry-level growth account comparisons with the United States[J].Review of income and wealth,2005,51 (4):505-536. [20]罗雨泽,芮明杰,罗来军,等.中国电信投资经济效应的实证研究[J].经济研究,2008 (6):61-72. [21]韩宝国,朱平芳.宽带对中国经济增长影响的实证分析[J].统计研究,2014,31 (10):49-54. [22]郭家堂,骆品亮.互联网对中国全要素生产率有促进作用吗[J].管理世界,2016 (10):34-49. [23]生延超,李辉.中国互联网规模对技术效率的影响与空间溢出效应[J].地理科学,2018,38 (9):1402-1411. [24]王可,李连燕. “互联网+”对中国制造业发展影响的实证研究[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2018,35 (6):4-21. [25]叶初升,任兆柯.互联网的经济增长效应和结构调整效应——基于地级市面板数据的实证研究[J].南京社会科学,2018 (4):18-29. [26]韩先锋,惠宁,宋文飞.信息化能提高中国工业部门技术创新效率吗[J].中国工业经济,2014 (12):70-82. [27]杜兴洋,杨起城,易敏.信息通信技术对普惠金融发展的影响——基于2007—2016年省级面板数据的实证分析[J].江汉论坛,2018,486 (12):40-49. [28]张三峰,魏下海.信息与通信技术是否降低了企业能源消耗——来自中国制造业企业调查数据的证据[J].中国工业经济,2019 (2):155-173. [29]BARRO R J.Economic growth in a cross section of countries[J].The quarterly journal of economics,1991,106 (2):407-443. [30]ISLAM N.Growth empirics:a panel data approach[J].Quarterly journal of economics,1998,113 (1):319-323. [31]ODAGIRI H.Research activity,output growth,and productivity increase in Japanese manufacturing industries[J].Research policy,1985,14 (3):117-130. [32]GOTO A,SUZUKI K.R&D capital,rate of return on R&D investment and spillover of R&D in Japanese manufacturing industries[J].Review of economics and statistics,1989,71 (4):555-564. [33]LOS B.The empirical performance of a new inter-industry technology spillover measure//SAVIOTTI P P,NOOTEBOOM B.Technology and knowledge.Cheltenham :Edward Elgar, 2000. [34]潘文卿,李子奈,刘强.中国产业间的技术溢出效应:基于35个工业部门的经验研究[J].经济研究,2011 (7):18-29. [35]匡远凤.技术效率、技术进步、要素积累与中国农业经济增长——基于SFA的经验分析[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2012 (1):3-18. [36]HALL R E,JONES C I.Why do come countries produce so much more output per worker than others[J].Quarterly journal of economics,1999,114 (1):83-116. [37]李立威,景峰.互联网扩散与经济增长的关系研究——基于我国31个省份面板数据的实证检验[J].北京工商大学学报 (社会科学版),2013,28 (3):120-126.
2020, 
