公私合营项目收益系统动力学分析——以天然气项目为例

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Abstract According to the cost and income structure of gas projects and the causality analysis of project revenue,system dynamic analysis on revenue for PPP gas projects uses the software of Vensim PLE for the model effectiveness test,to analogue simulation and sensitivity analysis with the combination of northwest stations case studies.Simulation results demonstrate that concession period,concession price,gas volume annually and expected yield of the private sector have a comprehensive effect on project revenue,and then it makes qualitative and quantitative suggestions of franchise agreement

Key words： Gas projects PPP Project revenue System dynamics

Received: 07 August 2015

PACS:

F223

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	Articles by authors
	Sun Chunling
	Ren Fei
	Zhang Mengxiao

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Sun Chunling,Ren Fei,Zhang Mengxiao. System Dynamic Analysis on Revenue for PPP Projects:A Case of Gas Projects[J]. , 2016, 0(3): 131-137.

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http://www.zgkjlt.org.cn/EN/ OR http://www.zgkjlt.org.cn/EN/Y2016/V0/I3/131

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