|
|
|
| Time Span of Technological Realization to Social Realization:——Based on the 9thScience and Technology Foresight in Japan |
| Zhou Juan1,Peng Li2,Qiao Weiguo3 |
1.School of Insurance,University of International Business and Economics,Beijing 100029,China;
2.School of Economics,Liaoning University,Shenyang 110036,China;
3.Institute of Policy and Management of Chinese Academy of Sciences，Beijing 100190，China |
|
|
|
|
Abstract The time span of technological realization to social realization is relevant to S&T&I strategy planning and assessment cycleBased on 726 pieces of technology data from the Japanese 9th Science and Technology Foresight,this paper finds that the time span is about 7 yearsBut difference exits in different technology areas,for those relevant to biotechnology,information technology,health technology,etc,the time span is slightly longer,while for those relevant to environment and infrastructure it is shorterCompared to single technology,the time span of some system technologies which integrate existing technologies seems shorterTherefore,government should take time span of technology cycle into consideration when formulating S&T&I policy,extend planning and assessing cycle,and pay more attention to the difference among technologies and the role of big companies.
|
|
Received: 15 May 2015
|
|
|
|
|
|
[1]Foster Richard.Innovation:The Attacker's Advantage,Summit Books[M].1986.
[2]Jain R K,Martyniuk A O,Harris M M,et alEvaluating the Commercial Potential of Emerging Technologies[J].International Journal of Technology Transfer and Commercialisation.2003,2(1):32-50.
[3]Harvey M GApplication of Technology Life Cycles to Technology Transfers[J].Journal of Business Strategy.1984,5(2):51-58.
[4]Haupt R,Kloyer M,Lange MPatent Indicators for the Technology Life Cycle Development[J].Research Policy.2007,36(3):387-398.
[5]Maseeh F,Swiecki A,Finch NReducing MEMS Product Development and Commercialization Time[J].Future Fab International.Mill Valley,CA,2000,8.
[6]Davis F DPerceived Usefulness,Perceived Ease of Use,and User Acceptance of Information Technology[J].MIS quarterly,1989:319-340.
[7]Palvia PThe Role of Trust in E-commerce Relational Exchange:A Unified Model[J].Information & Management.2009,46(4):213-220.
[8]Klopping Inge M,Earl McKinneyExtending the Technology Acceptance Model and the Task-technology Fit Model to Consumer E-commerceInformation Technology[J].learning and performance Journal.2004,22(1):35-48.
[9]Kshetri NirBarriers to E-commerce and Competitive Business Models in Developing Countries:A Case Study[J].Electronic Commerce Research and Applications.2007,6:443-452.
[10] Murphy,Greory B,Ashley ABlessinger,Perceptions of No-name Recognition Business to Consumer E-commerce Trustworthiness:the Effectiveness of Potential Influence Tactics[J].Management Research.2003,14:71-92.
[11]Wang,Tien-Chin,Ying-Liang Lin.Accurately Predicting the Success of B2B E-commerce in Small and Medium Enterprise[J].Expert System with Applications.2009,36:2750-2758.
[12]Albrecht,Conan C,Douglas l Dean,James VHansen,Marketplace and Technology Standards for B2B E-commerce:Progress,Challenges,and the State of the art[J].Information & Management.2005,42（6）:865-875.
[13]Hollenstein H,Woerter MInter-and Intra-firm Diffusion of Technology:The Example of E-commerce:An Analysis Based on Swiss Firm-level Data[J].Research Policy,2008,37(3):545-564.
[14]The 9th Science and Technology Foresight -Contribution of Science and Technology to Future Society- The 9th Delphi Survey[R].Japan:nistep,2010.
[15]Sebastian-Florian Enea,Silvia PalaG7 CountriesAdvocates of the Global Business Cycle[J].Procedia Economics and Finance,2015,20:193-200 |
|
|
|
2015, Vol. 0 
