Abstract：Based on the classical theories of H-P filtering method,this articles estimates fundamental characteristics of china's economic volatility with separating fluctuation element and trend element in economic time series by technique and eliminating effects from short-term volatility and long-term trend.Based on the correlative coefficients of H-P filtering results,it analyzes the fluctuant correlation between GDP and Three-Industry in the period of 1978—2011.Then,it sets the double logarithm function model to estimate growth trend of GDP and three-industry,which sets estimation of interval from 2013 to 2020
潘柳全,王玉霞. 三次产业与中国经济波动及增长趋势的实证研究[J]. 中国科技论坛, 2014(7): 44-48.
Pan Liuquan,Wang Yuxia. The Volatility and Growth Trend of Three-industry and China's Macroeconomic. , 2014(7): 44-48.
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