1.南京大学信息管理学院, 江苏 南京 210093; 2.中国科学技术信息研究所, 北京 100038; 3.美国千年研究所, Arlington VA 22201 USA
A System Dynamic Model of Urban Transportation forPolicy Simulation:A Case Study of Beijing
Yang Yang1, 2, He Defang2, Tong Hefeng2, Qu Weishuang3
1.Department of Information Management, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China; 2.Institute of Scientific Technical Information of China, Beijing 100038, China 3.Millennium Institute, Arlington VA 22201, USA
Abstract：This paper builds a system dynamic model to analyse the transportation and energy consumption of the city.Firstly, it builds an integrated system that includes many sub-modules such as population, economic, transportation, etc.It can simulate the real transportation and calculate the energy consumption.Secondly, taking Beijing as an empirical target, it analyses its population details, trip generate and modal choice during the period of 2000—2020.Finally, it simulates the trend of travel structure and energy consumption of Beijing, and gives some policy suggestions for the city development.
杨阳;;贺德方;佟贺丰;屈慰双. 用于政策情景模拟的城市交通系统动力学模型构建:以北京市为例[J]. , 2013(11): 28-34.
Yang Yang;;He Defang;Tong Hefeng;Qu Weishuang. A System Dynamic Model of Urban Transportation forPolicy Simulation:A Case Study of Beijing. , 2013(11): 28-34.
2013, 
