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| Analysis on the Influencing Factors of Industrial Structure Evolution |
| Fan Decheng,Li Hao,Fang Lin |
| School of Economics and Management,Harbin Engineering University,Harbin 150001,China |
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Abstract The process of the industrial structure evolution is the result of a large number of factors related to the industrial structure interact with each other.Variables were chosen from the social demand,resource supply,technological progress and economy environment and policy environment to analyze the effect of the causal factors on the proportion of three industrial output value accounted for GDP in the process of China's industrial structure.The DEMATEL method was used to select the causal factors,and quantile regression method was used to analyze the effect intensity of various factors under different conditions of the industrial structure.The results showed that the structure of fixed asset investment,labor productivity,the high-tech industry output value proportion,the growth rate of GDP,R&D expenditure proportion,education expenditure proportion and the proportion of tax accounted for GDP were the causal factors.And the correlation degree between the fixed assets in primary industry and the primary industry output value proportion,R&D expenditure proportion and the secondary industry output value proportion,the fixed assets in tertiary industry and the tertiary industry output value proportion were the best
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Received: 08 October 2014
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2015, Vol. 0 
