中国基础研究状态评估与未来预测——基于 “十一五”至 “十三五”期间基础研究创新绩效与发展潜力的动态监测

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Abstract It is an urgent problem to monitor the dynamic change of basic research performance and evaluate the development potential of each region in the construction of basic research innovation system in China.This paper constructs three indicators named as basic research innovation performance value,reference index,and current index,and evaluates the basic research innovation capacity and future development potential of each region from the period of “11th Five-Year Plan”to “13th Five-Year Plan”through the quadratic relative evaluation method,and examines the impact of China's relevant policies on each region.The results showed the followings.Firstly,Beijing,Guangdong,Shanghai,Jiangsu and other regions have high innovation performance and fast development,and if resources are allocated to them,their innovation capacity will reach international leading position,and they should strive to make them “scientific highlands”.Secondly,Sichuan,Shandong,Zhejiang,Hubei and other regions have a good innovation foundation and great development potential.If policy guidance is in place,they will be the “reserve force”for basic research innovation in China.Thirdly,according to the development layout of China's three “Five-Year Plan”,China has formed an original innovation map with the east leading,the central part catching up differently,and the western part developing with characteristics.

Key words： Basic research Innovation performance Second relative evaluation method Development potential

Received: 14 January 2022

PACS:

G644

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Wu Yang. State Assessment and Future Prediction of Basic Research in China: Based on Dynamic Monitoring of Innovation Performance and Development Potential of Basic Research in Different Regions From the Period of “11th Five-Year Plan”to “13th Five-Year Plan”[J]. , 2022, 3(11): 25-34.

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http://www.zgkjlt.org.cn/EN/ OR http://www.zgkjlt.org.cn/EN/Y2022/V3/I11/25

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