跨境电商对制造业升级的作用机制及路径研究——基于双循环新发展格局视角

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Abstract As the global epidemic continues to escalate and the international economic and trade situation remains uncertain,new models and business models,represented by cross-border e-commerce,have become a new engine driving China's rapid economic growth.At the same time,cross-border e-commerce provides new opportunities for Chinese enterprises to participate in global value chain competition,and its advantages in driving the upgrading of manufacturing industry are gradually emerging.From the perspective of dual-cycle new development pattern,this paper analyzes the mechanism of cross-border e-commerce on the upgrading of China's manufacturing industry,demonstrates the mechanism of cross-border e-commerce on the upgrading of manufacturing industry based on ARMA model,and draws the following conclusions:First,the development of cross-border e-commerce has a driving force on the upgrading of domestic consumption and technological innovation.Secondly,cross-border e-commerce effectively boosts the upgrading of China's manufacturing industry through consumption upgrading and technological innovation.Both the market size and the upgrading level of the manufacturing industry of cross-border e-commerce show a growing trend.Thirdly,cross-border e-commerce is an effective predictor of China's manufacturing industry upgrading,and the two are significantly positively correlated.Finally,build the path of cross-border e-commerce to promote the upgrading of China's manufacturing industry.

Key words： Cross-border e-commerce Dual cycle Manufacturing upgrading Mechanism of action ARMA model

Received: 30 September 2021

PACS:

F724.6

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	Articles by authors
	Zhang Cheng
	Liu Shouchen
	Yu Zhaoyu

Cite this article:

Zhang Cheng,Liu Shouchen,Yu Zhaoyu. Research on the Mechanism and Path of Cross-Border E-commerce on Manufacturing Upgrading ——Based on the New Development Pattern of Double Circulation[J]. , 2022, 3(7): 77-88.

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http://www.zgkjlt.org.cn/EN/ OR http://www.zgkjlt.org.cn/EN/Y2022/V3/I7/77

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