后默克尔时代德国对华科技政策展望—政党变动的视角

Abstract
Figure/Table
References
Related Citation (0)

Download: PDF (6182 KB) HTML (1 KB)
Export: BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)

Abstract Scientific and technological innovation cooperation is an important part of Sino-German relations.Forecasting the trend of Germany's science and technology policy towards China in the post-Merkel era will help it prepare in advance.This article proposes that China policy and science and technology promote development are the two major thinking dimensions of Germany's science and technology policy towards China.These two dimensions are reflected in the German political party level as a political party's attitude towards China and its values of science and technology policy.By constructing an analysis quadrant that predicts the influence of political and personnel changes on Germany's science and technology policy toward China,this article prospects the trend of Germany's technology policy toward China in four scenarios.In response to the changes in Germany,China should clarify the potential “cooperation points”and “conflict points”in the Sino-German science and technology relations as soon as possible,and conduct proactive communication through various platforms to promote the Sino-German science and technology cooperation relationship to enter a healthy development track after the general election.

Key words： Post-Merkel era Political party coalition Quadrant analysis Scenario analysis

Received: 30 April 2021

PACS:

F137

	Service

	E-mail this article
	Add to my bookshelf
	Add to citation manager
	E-mail Alert
	RSS
	Articles by authors
	Li Yan

Cite this article:

Li Yan. Prospects of Germany's Science and Technology Policy Towards China in the Post-Merkel Era —The Perspective of Political Party Changes[J]. , 2021, 2(9): 181-188.

URL:

http://www.zgkjlt.org.cn/EN/ OR http://www.zgkjlt.org.cn/EN/Y2021/V2/I9/181

[1]科技部.科技创新共塑未来·德国战略[EB/OL]. (2016-11-23)[2021-04-12].http://www.most.gov.cn/kjbgz/201611/W020161123395806713396.pdf.
[2]熊炜.德国对华政策转变与默克尔的 “外交遗产”[J].欧洲研究,2020,38 (6):1-15+165.
[3]俞宙明.德国政府科研创新政策综述[M]// 郑春荣,伍慧萍.德国发展报告 (2014).北京:社会科学文献出版社,2014:139.
[4]德国科研创新态势分析报告课题组.德国科研创新态势分析报告[R].北京:科学出版社,2014:115.
[5]Federal ministry of education and research.Interactive graphic 1.3.1:share of gross domestic expenditure on research and development in GDP in selected countries[EB/OL].[2021-05-12].https://www.datenportal.bmbf.de/portal/en/chart-1.3.1.html.
[6]杨解朴.碎片化政党格局下德国绿党崛起的原因及影响[J].当代世界与社会主义,2020,145 (3):136-143.
[7]BARKIN Noah.You may miss Merkel more than you think[EB/OL]. (2020-03-09)[2021-04-12].https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/03/09/armin-laschet-merkels-pro-russia-china-friendly-successor/.
[8]The Left Party.Federal election program 2021[EB/OL]. (2021-02-08)[2021-04-12].https://www.die linke.de/fileadmin/download/wahlen2021/BTWP21_Entwurf_Vorsitzende.pdf.
[9]The Greens.Federal election program 2021[EB/OL]. (2021-03-19)[2021-04-12].https://cms.gruene.de/uploads/documents/2021_Wahlprogrammentwurf.pdf.
[10]The SPD Party.Federal election program 2021[EB/OL]. (2021-03-01)[2021-04-12].https://www.spd.de/fileadmin/Dokumente/Beschluesse/20210301_SPD_Zukunftsprogramm.pdf.
[11]The FPD Party.Federal election program 2021[EB/OL]. (2021-04-16)[2021-04-12].https://www.fdp.de/sites/default/files/uploads/2021/04/16/programmentwurf-nie-gab-es-mehr-zu-tun-2.pdf.
[12]Keegan Elmer.German politicians blasted on China visit over Hong Kong unrest as Guo Yezhou tells delegation their people's support ‘incited’Legco invasion[N/OL]. (2019-07-23)[2021-04-12].https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3019789/german politicians-blasted-china-visit-over-hong-kong-unrest.
[13]Reuters.Germany's greens chancellor candidate vows to get tough on Russia and China[EB/OL]. (2021-04-24)[2021-04-25].https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/germanys-greens-chancellor-candidate-vows-get-tough-russia-china-2021-04-24/.
[14]The Greens.Federal election program 2021[EB/OL]. (2021-03-19)[2021-04-12].https://cms.gruene.de/uploads/documents/2021_Wahlprogrammentwurf.pdf.
[15]孙福全,王文岩.短缺科技论与政府对科技活动的干预[J].中国科技论坛,2003 (1):92-95.
[16]徐治力.论政府对科技活动干涉的作用与限度[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2004 (11):90-93.
[17]The Greens.Federal election program 2021[EB/OL]. (2021-03-19)[2021-04-12].https://cms.gruene.de/uploads/documents/2021_Wahlprogrammentwurf.pdf.
[18]The Left Party.Federal election program 2021[EB/OL]. (2021-02-08)[2021-04-12].https://www.die linke.de/fileadmin/download/wahlen2021/BTWP21_Entwurf_Vorsitzende.pdf.
[19]SLOAT Amanda.Germany's new centrists? The evolution,political prospects and foreign policy of Germany's Green Party[R/OL].[2021-04-12].https://www.brookings.edu/research/germanys-new-centrists-the-evolution-political-prospects-and-foreign-policy-of-germanys-green-party/.
[20]Wikipedia.Opinion polling for the 2021 German federal election[EB/OL]. (2021-04-25)[2021-04-25].https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2021_German_federal_election.
[21]金斯基,波贡特克.德国政党格局发展新动向[M]// 郑春荣.德国发展报告 (2020):转型中的德国.北京:社会科学文献出版社,2020:32-49.
[22]姜文平.德国新政府科技发展政策走向[J].全球科技经济瞭望,1999 (2):19-20.
[23]张家栋.从主权国家兴衰看权力博弈形态的转型[J].云梦学刊,2021 (3):1-9.